Followers of Newcastle United are more and more regarding the team's outfit as an inconsistent friend. At their brilliant best, they transform into the very life of the party, producing high-octane displays. Yet, at other times, key individuals like their midfield linchpin and his teammates completely go missing.
Adding to these problems is a late-game game management riddled with a pronounced tendency of panic. Before their holiday fixture to Manchester United, the facts tell a troubling tale: the team has squandered thirteen precious Premier League points from winning positions this term and are without a shutout in 10 straight outings across all competitions. Claiming three points at their famous stadium would constitute only their second league success on the road this year.
On the flip side, a loss has been tasted on one occasion in their most recent 6 league encounters, and despite sitting in a modest eleventh position, they are a mere 6 points away from the highly-prized Champions League places. Add in an looming two-part League Cup semi-final against Manchester City and a strong opportunity of advancing to the Champions League last 16, and it becomes simpler to appreciate the manager's measured hope.
“It's not only about issues,” said the club's manager. “We have assets too. I am decidedly optimistic at present. I realize others could have a different view, but my belief is we're making progress.”
The puzzle persists: can this collection of players recapture – or perhaps eclipse – the successes of the previous campaign's cup glory and European-qualifying standing? Managing a hectic schedule makes this difficult.
The resulting fatigue might explain the failure to uphold a brilliant opening 45-minute performance versus their London rivals, ultimately squandering a 2-0 lead to tie 2-2. Similarly, it is possibly the culprit for a lackluster display in a painful defeat to local rivals the Black Cats, where the team looked lethargic just a short time after a tough Champions League excursion.
Although on-field instruction is undoubtedly Howe's strength, the relentless grind of two games a week football has drastically reduced valuable practice hours. This hinders the squad's stylistic adjustment to operating with new striker their number nine up front, rather than the now departed their former star. Although immensely skilled, the German forward does not possess the equivalent blistering counter-attacking pace or relentless pressing.
Indeed, the side's once-formidable high press has occasionally failed. Injuries to crucial component the Brazilian midfielder have not helped, while high-profile arrivals the Swedish winger and Jacob Ramsey have had difficulties adapting after their big-money transfers.
While a switch to a back three could theoretically benefit the team, a severe defensive absence list makes that problematic. Important full-backs will be absent for the next crucial matches, challenging the squad's resilience.
When playing at their energetic best, they appear almost unstoppable. The catch is maintaining that level for the entire match. The often-seen plan B of dropping deep into a passive counter-attacking shape has sometimes been counterproductive.
“That game descended into disorganized at 2-2,” said the manager. “However the intention was going for the victory. Our mentality is to always go out to win.”
What appears called for is a middle ground – one featuring better ball control, a engine room adept of controlling the pace, and a sensible willingness to occasionally accept a point. Yet, a determination to challenge on every fronts is pushing limited player numbers to their breaking point.
It may seem unthinkable to some, but a more selective approach in the cup competitions earlier could have eased the present fixture pile-up. Amid vital European & Premier League matches on the agenda, the need to carefully choose focus areas is growing ever more clear.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the scale of the task ahead. “Being at this club, the pressures are immense. Each game is pivotal. There is progress to be made in the Premier League. We are in the Carabao Cup semi-finals, we aim to go through in the Europe and do well in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the right direction, but we have lots of improvement to do to transform into the regularly successful side we aspire to be. The ability to string together winning runs has escaped us this season.
“The challenge is to attain that standard we are aware we're able to reach. I believe that the self-belief we can do that is coming back. But now we have to show it. It's not all doom and gloom currently, but the upcoming fixtures will determine a great deal.”
Elena Verhoeven is a tech enthusiast and digital strategist with over a decade of experience in emerging technologies and online innovation.